PSG vs Inter Milan Predictions and Betting Tips for Champions League game

Paris Saint-Germain can become only the second French club in the history of Europe’s premier club competition to clinch the famous trophy when they face Inter in the Champions League final of the competition at the Allianz Arena in Munich on Saturday night (Central European Time).

Manager Luis Enrique and his players have thrilled audiences around the world with the calibre of football that they have played in the competition since the turn of the year.

They now have the chance to follow in the footsteps of arch-rivals Olympique de Marseille, who made history by becoming the first French club to claim the Champions League trophy when they beat AC Milan (also in Munich) in 1993.

As the first of our two odds tables above shows, PSG are favourites to emerge victorious on Saturday night. At the time of writing, they are 1.65 (13/20) to lift the trophy, while Inter are 2.38 (11/8).

Those odds are the market’s way of saying that PSG have a 61 percent chance of being crowned champions, while Inter have a 42 percent chance.

The second odds table shows that PSG are also clear favourites to win in 90 minutes. At the time of writing, they are 2.25 (5/4) to do so, while Inter are 3.5 (5/2). The Draw is 3.4 (12/5)

Is PSG’s clear favouritism fair? We are not so sure. They have played some tremendous football in this season’s competition, and were deserved winners of both legs of their semi-final against Arsenal (they won 1-0 in the first leg in London, before triumphing 2-1 in the return fixture in Paris).

Yet it is worth remembering that they needed penalties to get past Liverpool in the last 16, and lost the second leg of their quarter-final clash vs Aston Villa. So, while they have been arguably the competition’s stand-out team so far, there are flaws in their make-up.

Inter were involved in arguably the finest knockout tie in the competition’s history when they took on and eventually defeated Barcelona in the semi-finals. They needed extra-time to clinch a 7-6 aggregate win after both the first and second legs ended in 3-3 draws at the end of normal time.

Inter also impressed in the quarter-finals, defeating Bayern Munich 4-3 on aggregate. In the last 16, they breezed past Feyenoord with a 4-1 aggregate triumph.

Best bet

Based on the two teams’ progress into the final, do PSG really deserve to be rated as clear favourites over their Serie A rivals? There will be debate about that, but we think the quality of the Inter line-up, not to mention their experience in this competition – this is their second appearance in the final in three years – makes them the value play.

That said, we believe there are better selections available on this game, as we explain below.

Goals Market Too Close to Call

The Over/Under 2.5 Goals market is pretty much a 50-50 call, at the time of writing. Over 2.5 Goals is available at a best price of 1.95 (19/20), while Under 2.5 Goals is 1.91 (10/11).

You can make a case for both outcomes. These two teams have generally been involved in high-scoring encounters through the knockout phase en route to the final. Both legs of Inter’s semi-final against Barcelona produced six goals in normal time, for example.

In total, 10 of the two sides’ 14 knockout phase games have had Over 2.5 Goals. That is an emphatic stat in favour of Overs.

You have to weigh up the goals trends on Champions League finals as well, however. Seven of the last 10 finals – and each of the last six – have featured Under 2.5 Goals in normal time. The last five finals have produced just six goals, with one team failing to score in each of those five finals.

The low-scoring nature of recent finals may simply mean we are due a high-scoring encounter. But it would be wrong to dismiss the trend on finals entirely heading into this match.

Best bet

To us, the odds on Over and Under 2.5 Goals look about right. There is good evidence that both sides can score goals and, arguably, that they are both stronger offensively than defensively.

Yet to evidence of recent finals is that teams that have great attacking qualities are not necessarily able to show them on the night that the trophy is handed out. For that reason, we prefer to leave this market alone.

Make Mendes and Pavard your Player Picks

Our strongest selections on the game are in the player markets. And, more specifically, on the Player Shot on Target market, which throws up some excellent opportunities.

The first is on Nuno Mendes. The PSG left-back has been a formidable attacking presence this season, scoring four goals in the competition. He is excellent at getting into shooting positions in the final third, both in open play and on set-pieces. So we were surprised to find the Portugal international as big as 5.0 (4/1) in the Over 0.5 Shots on Target.

Our second selection would be Inter defender Benjamin Pavard. The France international is far from a prolific goalscorer, but he is a player of immense mental strength, and has the potential to rise to the big occasion.

Pavard will want to impress against opponents from his homeland, especially as he missed Bayern Munich’s 2020 Champions League final victory over PSG through injury when he was a Bayern player.

Best bets

Nuno Mendes is available at 5.0, and Pavard is 8.0 (7/1) to have Over 0.5 Shots on Target. We believe both players are underrated in this market given their ability to get into dangerous advanced positions.

• Top selection – Nuno Mendes (PSG) Over 0.5 Shots on Target (5.0)
• Top selection – Benjamin Pavard (Inter) Over 0.5 Shots on Target (8.0)

Odds from Oddschecker – Correct as of 28/05/2025

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