With just 12 matches left, the Supercomputer has updated its prediction for the final 2025/26 Premier League table. Last term, everyone had expected Manchester City to rule the roost again, but it was Liverpool – under new manager Arne Slot – who ended up winning their 20th English league crown at a canter, reclaiming their perch as the country’s most successful club.
There were no bonus points handed to those who guessed that Arsenal would finish second – having now achieved that feat three successive seasons on the spin now – while Pep Guardiola’s side’s end-of-season form saw them just about claim third. Other narratives drawn up were that of Nottingham Forest’s surprise run to European qualification, while Tottenham Hotspur and Manchester United slipped to their worst-ever league campaigns since the 1992 rebranding.
All of the above is still fresh in the memory, but football never sleeps. The forecasts below are compiled by a Supercomputer, with the help of Opta, which has simulated the league season based on the fixture list and what we learned from the season so far. Without further ado, let’s take a look at the predicted winners and losers of the 2025/26 Premier League season.
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Relegation Zone
A worrying trend at the foot of the table is tipped to finally come to an end this season. In both 2023/24 and 2024/25, all three promoted sides went straight back down. But if the Supercomputer’s latest projections are correct, both Sunderland and Leeds will survive this time around. This does still mean, however, that Burnley are tipped to have their gloom turn into inevitable doom under Scott Parker.
The Clarets may have secured a 3-2 win over Crystal Palace, improving their survival hopes slightly, but they are still expected to go straight back down to the Championship with 28 points.
West Ham United drew against in-form Manchester United, but they are still one of the relegation favourites, according to the Supercomputer’s calculations. There have been small signs of revival at the London Stadium – such as their wins against Burnley, Sunderland and Tottenham – but the Hammers are still predicted to amass just 36 points and finish in 18th place.
Opta’s machine also believes Wolverhampton Wanderers – who picked up their first win of the season in their 20th attempt – will be unable to reverse early damage, as they are tipped to remain the cellar dwellers until May. There’s no surprise there, but right now, supporters at Molineux will be hoping that well-to-do local manager Rob Edwards has the ability to work miracles after becoming the first side in the competition’s history to come back from a two-goal deficit against the leaders by drawing at home to Arsenal.
Leeds United could find themselves dragged into a battle for survival this term, but have been given a chance of avoiding relegation to the second tier. The Whites are predicted to finish in 15th, five points clear Nottingham Forest, who have now sacked three managers this season following Sean Dyche’s dismissal.
After Ange Postecoglou led Tottenham to Europa League glory in 2024/25, there was hope among the north London faithful that new manager Thomas Frank could mastermind a turnaround. But after less than a season in charge, Frank has now gone, and there are real fears that Spurs will soon find themselves firmly involved in the relegation dogfight. They are expected to survive but, like last season, only just.
|
Position |
Club |
Points |
|---|---|---|
|
15. |
Leeds United |
45 |
|
16. |
Tottenham Hotspur |
45 |
|
17. |
Nottingham Forest |
40 |
|
18. |
West Ham United |
36 |
|
19. |
Burnley |
28 |
|
20. |
Wolverhampton Wanderers |
20 |
Bottom Half
Brighton and Hove Albion have somewhat flown under the radar so far this term, as other underdogs take on the role of overachievers – a reputation they once wore with pride under Graham Potter and Roberto De Zerbi. Under the current Fabian Hurzeler regime, however, the club is currently trending in a negative direction, with just one win in 13 matches following a 1-0 defeat to Aston Villa.
Meanwhile, Crystal Palace are currently predicted to finish just above their rivals. Having won the FA Cup – their first major honour of any kind – at the end of last season, then proved they are a force here to stay by beating Liverpool twice to kick-start another campaign of promise. They first triumphed in the Community Shield final, and then again to end Arne Slot’s 100 per cent start to the campaign. But that success has given way to turmoil, with captain Marc Guehi sold to Man City and Oliver Glasner announcing he will be leaving when his contract expires.
Fulham have often struggled to break through the glass ceiling and fully realise their potential, unlike other clubs around them that have managed to kick on and evolve in recent seasons. And while Marco Silva’s side have impressed at points, defeats against Manchester United, Leeds, Everton and Man City have seen the Cottagers slip down the predicted table.
Despite competing in their first Premier League season in eight years, Sunderland have shocked fans and pundits alike with performances so far. Handed an 11th place predicted finish, that’s not a bad position given that they were playing in League One as recently as 2022. Right now, you wouldn’t put it past Regis Le Bris to guide the Black Cats to a top 10 placement.
|
Position |
Club |
Points |
|---|---|---|
|
11. |
Sunderland |
50 |
|
12. |
Fulham |
49 |
|
13. |
Brighton & Hove Albion |
47 |
|
14. |
Crystal Palace |
47 |
Top Half
Newcastle United have flattered to deceive at points so far in 2025/26. While there have been big wins against top teams like Manchester City, there have also been some poor losses, most notably to rivals Sunderland in the Tyne-Wear derby. Blowing hot and cold is why the Magpies are forecast to finish in 9th place rather than continue to prove they can disrupt the old order.
It’s Bournemouth who currently occupy 9th spot in the actual Premier League table. The Supercomputer believes they’ll clinch eighth place come the end of the season.
Everton were tipped by many fans as potential dark horses for the 2025/26 campaign. With fresh American ownership, a new stadium, and exciting attacking reinforcements like Jack Grealish arriving over the summer, manager David Moyes seemed well-equipped to start building something special at Bramley-Moore Docks. The Supercomputer is predicting them to finish 10th.
Brentford will be delighted if they can manage a top 10 finish after a summer of wholesale changes saw them lose Bryan Mbeumo to the Red Devils, Yoane Wissa to Newcastle, and perhaps most detrimentally, Thomas Frank to Tottenham. This, alongside losing key names in previous summers, set Keith Andrews up for a rescue mission like no other – but, so far, he’s delivered some important results as the Bees have maintained their steady progression. The west London club are currently flying high in 7th, and are predicted to finish in that position.
As for Manchester United, a top-four finish felt impossible around the time Ruben Amorim was put out of his misery in early January. Michael Carrick has transformed the mood around Old Trafford, winning four of his first five games in charge – including huge wins over Manchester City and Arsenal. After a draw against West Ham, though, the Supercomputer has the Red Devils (62.44 points) finishing just below Chelsea (62.73 points) and Liverpool 62.96 points).
|
Position |
Club |
Points |
|---|---|---|
|
5. |
Chelsea |
63 |
|
6. |
Manchester United |
62 |
|
7. |
Brentford |
58 |
|
8. |
Bournemouth |
54 |
|
9. |
Newcastle United |
53 |
|
10. |
Everton |
52 |
Top Four
Liverpool have experienced a turbulent second season under Arne Slot. Many pundits and fans alike tipped the Reds to begin a period of domination after adding the likes of Alexander Isak and Floran Wirtz to their ranks in the summer, weeks after winning the Premier League title, but things certainly haven’t panned out that way. All things considered, a top-four finish wouldn’t be the worst outcome for Slot and his players.
After waving goodbye to a rocky start to the campaign, Aston Villa are projected to finish third under Unai Emery. Having failed to score in their opening four games, the Villans have since become one of the most in-form teams in the league, beating the likes of Arsenal, Chelsea and Manchester United to fly up the table. Although dropped points against Crystal Palace, Everton, Brentford and Bournemouth have seen them stumble, they are still tipped to post an impressive 71 points.
Manchester City, who are always dangerous at this time of the season, are closing the gap on Arsenal but are still expected to finish second – for now. Pep Guardiola’s side are now just four points behind the Gunners in the real Premier League table.
But if Arsenal can keep City at arm’s length, even in the face of a recent drop-off in form, they will end a hoodoo that’s lasted over two decades. Patience has been a virtue in the Arteta project, and winning the title – as current projections suggest – would remove any lingering doubt about the Spaniard’s ability to get his side over the finishing line.
For some teams, all it takes is one triumph to spark a domino effect of silverware. If Arsenal, who are widely regarded as one of the biggest clubs to never win the Champions League, lift the Premier League trophy this season, it could spell bad news for the rest of the country in the years ahead.
|
Position |
Club |
Points |
|---|---|---|
|
1. |
Arsenal |
81 |
|
2. |
Manchester City |
74 |
|
3. |
Aston Villa |
71 |
|
4. |
Liverpool |
63 |